Smart gamblers are constantly looking for ways to beat the house, and one such strategy is to seek assistance from the fields of science and math.
Here, we’ll examine chaos theory at its most fundamental level and see if it can be applied to blackjack and roulette to your advantage.
How Does Chaos Theory Work?
The unpredictable and random nature of complex systems is studied by the convoluted mathematical theory known as chaos theory. So you cannot beat cazinouri online austria using only math. You need a process.
Something like the weather or how water behaves while boiling on a stove could be considered a complex system.
The systems are thought to be extremely difficult to study because, according to this theory, even the slightest alteration in the initial circumstances will lead to a completely different outcome.
In its simplification for broad audiences, as is frequently the case in such discussions of scientific discovery, many nuances were lost.
In many scientific discoveries, as well, there were bettors hoping to profit.
Discussions on whether roulette spins could be predicted or whether blackjack shoes were “complex systems” erupted shortly after Edward Lorenz’s nuanced view on weather predictability.
And wherever there are gamblers trying to make money, someone is always offering a how-to manual that will make it simple and fast.
Is It Possible To Win At Blackjack Using Chaos Theory?
Being a game of skill rather than chance has always been blackjack’s appeal.
The cards dealt prior to the one being dealt determine the likelihood of the subsequent card.
Additionally, because of the game’s rules, a large number of high-value cards still to be dealt can alter the odds, sometimes to your advantage.
It makes sense that chaos theory might be applicable in some way here because it is used to uncover order in data that appears to be random.
There won’t be a significant change if one Ace is taken out of a 6-deck shoe because we know how each card’s removal from the game will affect the outcome.
The opportunities are numerous for those who keep track of the cards that have been played and are aware of the value of the cards that are still to be played in six decks of randomly shuffled cards.
Instead, a straightforward mathematical progression of highs and lows is displayed. You could say it was almost like a song.
Is There A Way To Win At Roulette Using Chaos Theory?
From the viewpoint of the casino, the goal of a roulette wheel is to assemble a device that generates an impartial test.
One that chooses at random from a set of 38 numbers, ranging from double zero to 36.
Of course, the most practical options for such a task are probably not an ivory ball, a wooden wheel, or a moving metal wheel head.
I once witnessed an eccentric Englishman who went by the alias “Harry Gatto” defeat two different wheel heads for more than $300K in the early 1990s after tracking them for several months.
There is little doubt that due to poor upkeep and poor design, roulette wheels have been vulnerable to attack in the past.
When considering whether they still are, it is important to consider whether chaos theory can be useful.
Again, it seems on the surface that small variations in the starting conditions can result in significant changes in the results.
Any of these factors, including a worn ball, a groove in the ball track, a slight spindle tilt, or a slightly bent fret on a wheel head, can make a number or segment of numbers land more frequently than they ought to.
Casinos Are Difficult To Cheat In
Students at UC Santa Cruz were using computers to play roulette as early as the late 1970s.
It turns out that by taking into account both the speed of the ball and the speed of the wheel, as well as additional calculations for the scatter of the ball once it reaches the wheel head, they were able to bet on specific areas of the wheel that would give them an advantage of up to 40%.
The problem with this, similar to the problem with card counting, is that a trained professional can almost immediately spot it.
You must first learn the location of the wheel head, the speed of the wheel, and the location of the ball, and then you must still have time to place your bets where a secret computer instructs you to.
You can imagine the frantic betting back in the 1980s, even though it can now be done through apps on your phone.
But once more, the late bet on numbers that coincide on the wheel head is a dead giveaway. And this is just one of many reasons why mobile devices are almost never permitted to be in plain view near a roulette table.
To prevent this kind of advantage play, casinos will occasionally wave off new wagers after just one or two ball revolutions.
Other techniques from the late 1980s and early 1990s that looked for tilted wheel heads or other physical problems with the wheels have also been fixed in large part.
A bigger casino will typically maintain the wheels once a week or even more frequently in the US.
This entails checking for any problems with frets and canoes and making sure that nothing sticky has gotten on a number to stop the ball from easily bouncing out.
The wheel will also be checked with a level to make sure it isn’t tilted in any way, which is possibly how my Mr. Gatto was able to win those roulette games.
Additionally, while gathering reams of data on roulette wheel outcomes is typically advised for finding a game that can be beat, kindly take note that the majority of casinos already extract that data directly from their electronic roulette scoreboards, where it can then be analyzed by powerful software looking for anomalies.
I always tell people to “run, don’t walk” if they want to sell you a roulette system based on chaos theory.
While a variety of advantage strategies can still be used to win at roulette, most of these can be easily stopped by staff that has received the proper training and have nothing to do with chaos theory.
Maintaining two balls on the table, preferably of different weights and sizes, is possibly the best form of defense.
If they are unsure of the initial conditions required to make an accurate prediction, even the best physics models or an absolutely stunning supercomputer using some form of chaos modeling won’t succeed.